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Have you heard of the "Bradley effect"?

AFL-CIO Secretary-Treasurer Richard Trumka, former president of the United Mine Workers union, recently gave one of the most powerful speeches I've ever seen, challenging white voters, especially union members, not to allow racism to get in the way of support for Barack Obama: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDDnJDsJD-0. He delivered this incredible speech to a convention of the Steelworkers union in West Virginia a few weeks ago. It will stir your soul.



 
ny.chica

Asked by ny.chica at 5:20 PM on Oct. 7, 2008 in Politics & Current Events

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Answers (9)
  • it's ignorant republicans getting other ignorant people to vote their way.
    Anonymous

    Answer by Anonymous at 9:04 PM on Oct. 7, 2008

  • Political analysts are now debating whether, or how much, Obama will be hurt by racism among white voters. Some are concerned about the so-called "Bradley effect," named after former Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, who, a few days before election day, was leading in the polls when he ran for governor in 1982, but who lost the election to white Republican George Deukmejian. Since then, the "Bradley effect" has meant the reluctance of white voters to tell pollsters that they won't vote for a black candidate.
    ny.chica

    Answer by ny.chica at 5:20 PM on Oct. 7, 2008

  • The question today is whether the "Bradley effect" is as powerful now as it was 26 years ago. Undoubtedly there are white voters who won't vote for Obama because he's black, even if they won't admit that to themselves, much less to pollsters. But is the number of such voters large enough to sway the election in key swing states? Will voters under 40 -- who are less likely to vote for or against a candidate based on race -- account for a large enough proportion of the electorate to undermine the "Bradley effect" on November 4? (Another important question: do the current polls under-estimate support for Obama because so many young people rely on cell phones, while polls mainly survey people using home phone numbers).

    ny.chica

    Answer by ny.chica at 5:20 PM on Oct. 7, 2008

  • And will the efforts of the labor movement -- and the powerful appeal to union solidarity by Trumka and others -- not only expand turnout among union members and households, but persuade more union members to vote for Obama. (In 2004, despite John Kerry's tepid campaign and upper-crust demeanor, union members gave him 61 percent of their votes over George W. Bush. In the battleground states, where unions focused their turnout efforts, they did even better. In Ohio, for example, union members favored Kerry by a 67 to 31 percent margin).

    ny.chica

    Answer by ny.chica at 5:21 PM on Oct. 7, 2008

  • The McCain campaign is counting on the "Bradley effect." In fact, they are doing everything they can to get voters to think about Obama in racial terms, as well as to associate him with radicals, troublemakers, community organizers, and other groups whom they hope will turn white, swing voters against him.



    For different views about the potential size of the "Bradley effect," see the following:

    http://www.sacbee.com/812/story/1141286.html

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-fauntroy-phd/obama-and-the-bradley-eff_b_120286.html

    http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/A/AP_YAHOO_POLL_OBAMA_RACE?SITE=MIDTN&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

    http://www.salon.com/politics/war_room/2008/09/30/bradley_effects/

    http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=does_obama_really_have_a_race_problem

    ny.chica

    Answer by ny.chica at 5:22 PM on Oct. 7, 2008

  • I know what is is and I hope it works again
    Anonymous

    Answer by Anonymous at 8:52 PM on Oct. 7, 2008

  • There is absolutely nothing wrong with trying to persuade voters into thinking a candidate is something other than what he is. So McCain staffers want people to think Obama is a black man, and Obama people want voters to think McCain is Bush. If Barack Hussein Obama was worried about racism he should have married a white woman and organized in white neighborhoods and went to a white church. McCain 3 pt lead in November.
    Anonymous

    Answer by Anonymous at 1:14 AM on Oct. 8, 2008

  • If Barack Hussein Obama was worried about racism he should have married a white woman and organized in white neighborhoods and went to a white church.

    Bigot much?
    Anonymous

    Answer by Anonymous at 1:29 AM on Oct. 8, 2008

  • Tell me honestly what the McCain campaign has done to inject race? I'm serious--the only race I've seen has been from Obama's camp.

    As far as Obamas' associations with Ayres, Davis, Wright, possible violations of Federal law by traveling to Kenya on the US taxpayers' dime and publicly campaigning for his Kenyan cousin Raila Odinga, that's fair game as it helps voters decide who Obama really is. Sorry to break this to you, but a Presidential candidate's background, experience and associations are fair game in order for us to make an informed decision.
    MojitoMama

    Answer by MojitoMama at 3:09 AM on Oct. 8, 2008

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