Welcome to CafeMom
join our community and talk to other moms, share advice, and have fun!

(minimum 6 characters)

We won't show your age or birthday to anyone unless you want us to!

Extreme Drought=Extreme Food Prices (piog)

Posted by on Aug. 6, 2012 at 10:20 PM
  • 19 Replies

Source

Dead Crops, Extreme Drought And Endless Wildfires Are Now The New Normal In America

As you read this, the United States is experiencing the worst drought it has seen since the Dust Bowl days of the 1930s.  As you read this, nearly half of all corn crops in the United States are in "poor" or "very poor" condition.  As you read this, 38 major wildfires are ripping across the central and western United States.  The brutal wildfires in Oklahoma have been so bad that they have made national headlines.  The price of corn has hit a brand new record high this summer and so has the price of soybeans.  More than half of all the counties in this country have been declared to be "natural disaster areas" by the U.S. Department of Agriculture at this point.  Things are so bad for ranchers that the CEO of Smithfield Foods is projecting that meat prices will rise by "significant double digits" in the months ahead.  Sadly, this drought is projected to continue throughout August and into September.  As you will read about below, some meteorologists are even openly postulating that there may not be enough moisture to avoid another drought next year.  Yes, things are really bad this year, but when you step back and take a look at the broader picture they become truly frightening.

According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, as of July 31st close to two-thirds of the continental United States was experiencing at least some level of drought....


Keep in mind that brown is "severe drought", red is "extreme drought" and dark brown in "exceptional drought".

This is truly a historic drought.  We have never seen anything like this in modern times in the United States.

The week before, this is how the U.S. Drought Monitor described conditions in the center of the country....

"Over 90 percent of the topsoil was short or very short of moisture in Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, Missouri, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio, with virtually all (99 percent) short or very short in Missouri and Illinois"

There had been some hope that rain would bring relief to farmers in the central part of the country, but instead things just keep getting worse and worse.

At this point, close to half of all corn being grown in the U.S. is either in "poor" or "very poor" condition.

For ranchers, the outlook is even more dismal.  The following is from a recent CNN article....

Nearly three-quarters of the nation's cattle acreage is now inside a drought-stricken area, as is about two-thirds of the country's hay acreage, the agency reported.

What that means is that a lot of animals are being slaughtered now and the price of meat is going to be moving substantially higher later in the year.

The following is what the CEO of Smithfield Foods, Larry Pope, recently told the Financial Times....

Beef is simply going to be too expensive to eat. Pork is not going to be too far behind. Chicken is catching up fast. Are we really going to take protein away from Americans?

He also told the Financial Times that he expects meat prices to rise by "significant double digits".

Those are very frightening statements.

The CEO of a major food company says that beef is going to "be too expensive to eat"?

That doesn't sound good at all.

Meanwhile, this drought is absolutely devastating farmers and ranchers all over the United States....

"When I was a kid in the '50s ... it got real dry, but nothing like this," said Marvin Helms, a 70-year-old farmer and rancher in central Arkansas who was compelled to sell his beef cattle after being short on feed.

His thousand acres of farmland near Arkadelphia include corn and soybeans, which Helms says is normally sufficient to sustain his family and provide for his cattle.

"We've got some insurance on the crops, but it's not enough," he said. "It will help, but it won't pay the bills."

Of course the federal government is going to step in and try to help these farmers and ranchers, but the truth is that the federal government is already drowning in debt.  Any additional help will have to be done with more borrowed money.

It is hard to describe how oppressive the heat and the drought have been in the middle part of the nation this year.  We have seen some unprecedented things happen.

Another major problem throughout the central part of the country right now is all of the horrible wildfires that are ravaging the wilderness areas.  The following is from a recent Chicago Tribune article about the recent fires in Oklahoma....

Wildfires burned out of control on Friday in Oklahoma, destroying homes and shutting down highways in a state that has suffered 18 straight days of 100-plus degree temperatures and persistent drought.

Emergency officials counted 11 different wildfires around the state, with at least 65 homes destroyed in parched areas north and south of Oklahoma City and south of Tulsa.

Oklahoma joins several states that have been plagued by wildfires this summer, including Colorado, Arkansas and Nebraska. Fires are being fed by a widespread drought.

But these fires in Oklahoma are only part of a very distressing long-term trend.  As I have written about previously, 6 of the 10 worst years for wildfires ever recorded in the United States have all come since the year 2000.

Another major change that we have seen is that massive dust storms called "haboobs" are becoming much more frequent in the southwest part of the country.

Just the other day, a dust storm that was approximately 2,000 feet high and nearly 100 kilometers wide ripped through the city of Phoenix, Arizona at 35 miles an hour.

Such events were once very rare in Phoenix.

But not anymore.

Meanwhile, much of the central and western United States is rapidly running out of water.

And I am not just talking about surface water.

A lot of the key aquifers that have allowed us to build cities and irrigate crops in the western half of the United States are being drained completely dry.  The following is from a recent San Diego Union-Tribune article about what is happening in California....

Few places in Southern California is that more evident than the desert sands of Borrego Springs, where residents, farmers and golf course operators are sucking about four times as much water from the ground each year as nature replaces.

They’ve been pumping so hard for so long that the community’s main aquifer could essentially run dry after a few more decades. That’s a dire possibility: A recent study showed it would be prohibitively expensive to build a pipeline to an outside source.

Did you catch that last part?

The truth is that someday entire cities may have to be abandoned because it will be "prohibitively expensive" to build water pipelines stretching hundreds of miles to bring them water.

Sadly, this is not just happening in California.  This kind of thing is going on all over the nation....

Similar concerns are bubbling up along San Diego County’s backcountry and across the nation — particularly in places such as the Central Valley and the Great Plains, where residents have dug deep to withstand a drought that has squeezed the nation’s midsection dry.

“It took Mother Nature in some cases thousands of years to accumulate the water in the aquifers, but we are pumping it out in mere decades,” said Robert Glennon, a law professor and water expert at the University of Arizona. “It’s a huge national and international problem. … It is utterly unsustainable and scary.”

I have previously written about how the largest underground water source in the United States, the Ogallala Aquifer, is being drained at an almost unbelievable pace.  You can read my previous report about the Ogallala Aquifer right here.

So even when this summer ends our problems will be far, far from over.

But right now the most immediate concern is the condition of our corn and our soybeans.

Corn is found in about 74 percent of the products we buy in the supermarket, and it is used to feed livestock all over the country.

In addition, the United States exports more food to the rest of the world than anyone else does.

So if our crops fail that is a very big deal.

Right now, it is being reported that this drought "will likely cost the U.S. food export industry billions in lost revenue."

Considering the fact that the "employment rate" in the United States is lower than it was during the last recession and that the U.S. economy is in the midst of a horrible long-term economic decline, this is the last thing that we need.

And what happens to all of the countries that are depending on us for food?

A recent Wired article had this startling headline....

"U.S. Drought Could Cause Global Unrest"

When people cannot feed their families, they tend to lose it.

Unfortunately, this year might just be the beginning.

According to a recent article in the Guardian, some scientists say that the drought has been so bad this year that it is going to take a "freak event" to avoid catastrophic damage to next year's corn crops....

What matters now is whether there will be enough rain to get next year's crops off to a good start.

"This drought isn't going anywhere," he said. "The damage is already done. What you are looking for is enough moisture to avert a second year of drought," he said.

However, Svoboda conceded that might require a freak event, especially in the mid-west which has already passed its rain season. "In the entire corn belt, from Indiana to Nebraska to the Dakotas, we have already reached the maximum precipitation periods for year. From here on in, it's all downhill," Svoboda said.

"As far as widespread general relief for the whole region it would take a really freakish dramatic change to make that happen. That doesn't appear to be in the cards, given the time of year we are in."

The skies are dry and our fields are scorched.

Our crops our failing and millions of acres are burning.

Our groundwater supplies are being rapidly depleted and giant dust storms are sweeping across some of our major cities.

Welcome to the new normal.

It isn't going to be pleasant.


Posted by on Aug. 6, 2012 at 10:20 PM
Add your quick reply below:
You must be a member to reply to this post.
Replies:
Ametrine
by on Aug. 7, 2012 at 1:33 PM

I agree!

Quoting cjsmom1:

It's going to devastate many working families who are already struggling. I don't know what I'm going to do if costs rise that much. And honestly I would prefer the government help the farmers then the big corporations they've been helping.


Ametrine
by on Aug. 7, 2012 at 1:37 PM

This is a very good idea.  How will you do that?  I don't know anything about growing veggies inside-I only have house plants.  Our outdoor raised beds are doing well, though.  :)

Do you have any sites on indoor gardening you'd like to share with a newbie?

Quoting michiganmom116:

....which is why I love my grass-fed beef and grain-free diet.  NOT to say that this isn't affecting me, but I don't think it will affect me as much as someone that relies on the supermarket to provide for their processed-food habit.

The reality is that the gov't is opening previously closed areas to farmers so they CAN feed their animals and cut hay, i.e. land that they've been paying the farmers to NOT use.  Ever wonder why that is?  Well, look at the money chain:  If farmers used all of their land to grow crops or raise pastured animals, then the prices would go down because there would be ample supply.  The US gov't wants to make money off the exports and according to laws of economics the less of something there is, the more it will fetch at market.  I'm not solely blaming Nature for this fiasco....the gov't and greed have a lot to do with it, too.  This "payment" to farmers to not use their land was a mistake.

How can we save ourselves?  Be more self-sufficient and don't just give in quietly to the rise in prices.  I realize it's not easy for many people, but get a garden started NOW.  I plan to grow veggies in our house over the winter.  Wean yourself off grain-foods, the ones that are going to skyrocket in price.  I can't say much about the meat except to stock up now, and not just a couple of extra roasts or chickens. 

Nature will balance out; we just have to adapt in the meantime.


michiganmom116
by Gold Member on Aug. 7, 2012 at 1:44 PM
1 mom liked this

I own the Fruit & Vegetable Gardening group here on CM.  There's a forum for Indoor & Container gardening that has plenty of tips!

I plan to grow potatoes in 5 gallon pails, and I have an Earth Box (just a huge rectangular flower pot) that has a tomato growing in it and I will probably transplant a couple of the better garden plants into that, too.  DH wants to get/build more boxes and we'll transplant some peppers and maybe grow more carrots and salad greens.  I have onions growing in horse feed tubs that I can move inside, too.  I know how to hand pollinate, so that won't be a problem with the plants that have blossoms.  I think the hardest part will be keeping the cats out of the boxes.

Quoting Ametrine:

This is a very good idea.  How will you do that?  I don't know anything about growing veggies inside-I only have house plants.  Our outdoor raised beds are doing well, though.  :)

Do you have any sites on indoor gardening you'd like to share with a newbie?

Quoting michiganmom116:

....which is why I love my grass-fed beef and grain-free diet.  NOT to say that this isn't affecting me, but I don't think it will affect me as much as someone that relies on the supermarket to provide for their processed-food habit.

The reality is that the gov't is opening previously closed areas to farmers so they CAN feed their animals and cut hay, i.e. land that they've been paying the farmers to NOT use.  Ever wonder why that is?  Well, look at the money chain:  If farmers used all of their land to grow crops or raise pastured animals, then the prices would go down because there would be ample supply.  The US gov't wants to make money off the exports and according to laws of economics the less of something there is, the more it will fetch at market.  I'm not solely blaming Nature for this fiasco....the gov't and greed have a lot to do with it, too.  This "payment" to farmers to not use their land was a mistake.

How can we save ourselves?  Be more self-sufficient and don't just give in quietly to the rise in prices.  I realize it's not easy for many people, but get a garden started NOW.  I plan to grow veggies in our house over the winter.  Wean yourself off grain-foods, the ones that are going to skyrocket in price.  I can't say much about the meat except to stock up now, and not just a couple of extra roasts or chickens. 

Nature will balance out; we just have to adapt in the meantime.



Ametrine
by on Aug. 7, 2012 at 7:32 PM

Obama says Midwest drought historic, seeks aid for region

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The worst drought in half a century is slashing U.S. crop and livestock production, President Obama said on Tuesday as he called on Congress to pass a farm bill that will send disaster aid to more farmers and ranchers.

During a meeting of Obama's rural council at the White House, he said the administration will do all it can to alleviate the impact of the drought.

"It is a historic drought and it is having a profound impact on farmers and ranchers all across many states," Obama said.

More than 60 percent of the continental United States, including prime farm and ranch territory, is suffering moderate to exceptional drought. Analysts expect the drought will bring the smallest corn crop in six years. The government will make its first estimate of the fall harvest on Friday.

With the U.S. election three months away, Obama said Congress needed to complete work on a new five-year farm bill. Republican leaders in the U.S. House of Representatives, unable to pass a bill in the lower chamber, proposed a $383 million disaster package for livestock producers before adjourning for the summer.

The president said he hoped lawmakers get an earful from their constituents during the five-week recess away from Washington and that they reconvene on September 10 prepared to complete work on a farm bill "immediately."

Food stamps for the poor would see their biggest cut, $16 billion, since the 1990s in the House farm bill. Democrats oppose those cuts and fiscal hawks among Republicans say the bill, which raises crop support prices, needs more cuts throughout. The Senate bill would cut food stamps by $4 billion.

"Congress needs to pass a farm bill that will not only provide important disaster relief tools but also make necessary reforms and give farmers the certainty they deserve," said Obama in his first remarks on the farm bill in weeks.

He complimented the Senate for "good bipartisan work," while wading into a squabble between the House and Senate over how to help farmers.

The Democratic-run Senate passed its farm bill in June. It includes funding for disaster aid this year. The Republican majority in the U.S. House of Representatives passed a disaster bill that would cut conservation programs by $639 million, including $256 million to reduce the federal deficit. It allows up to $100,000 in aid per operator.

Cattle and sheep ranchers would get most of the assistance.

Crop insurance will provide a safety net for most row-crop growers but livestock producers have less of a federal cushion. Disaster programs aimed at them expired at the end of 2011.

Farmers could collect $15 billion-$18 billion in crop insurance indemnities this year, nearly double the 2011 pay-out, because of drought losses, say analysts. Insurers made money in recent years but "this will be the first major loss year" since enrollment zoomed and may prompt a shake-out in the industry, said two University of Illinois economists on Tuesday.

The House disaster bill and the Senate farm bill offer similar disaster programs for livestock.

"It's unfortunate that Senate Democrats have blocked this relief package from getting to those in need," Kevin Smith, a spokesman for House Speaker John Boehner, said in a statement.

The current farm law expires on September 30 but many of its provisions, including crop supports and food stamps for the poor can run for a while. Farm lobbyists see a low chance of Congress resolving differences in bills before the post-election "lame duck" session.

(Additional reporting by Charles Abbott)

(Reporting By Margaret Chadbourn and Charles Abbott)

aidansmommy219
by Gold Member on Aug. 7, 2012 at 9:01 PM

 A few days ago a patient was talking to me about the price of hay. She said she's been having to pay $8 for bad hay. I asked her how much she usually pays and she said anywhere between $3-5 for better quality.

I think I read somewhere that this drought will effect food prices for several years to come.

Ametrine
by on Aug. 7, 2012 at 10:02 PM

catYou could always spray a cat repellent spray at the doorway to the garden.

Quoting michiganmom116:

I own the Fruit & Vegetable Gardening group here on CM.  There's a forum for Indoor & Container gardening that has plenty of tips!

I plan to grow potatoes in 5 gallon pails, and I have an Earth Box (just a huge rectangular flower pot) that has a tomato growing in it and I will probably transplant a couple of the better garden plants into that, too.  DH wants to get/build more boxes and we'll transplant some peppers and maybe grow more carrots and salad greens.  I have onions growing in horse feed tubs that I can move inside, too.  I know how to hand pollinate, so that won't be a problem with the plants that have blossoms.  I think the hardest part will be keeping the cats out of the boxes.

Quoting Ametrine:

This is a very good idea.  How will you do that?  I don't know anything about growing veggies inside-I only have house plants.  Our outdoor raised beds are doing well, though.  :)

Do you have any sites on indoor gardening you'd like to share with a newbie?

Quoting michiganmom116:

....which is why I love my grass-fed beef and grain-free diet.  NOT to say that this isn't affecting me, but I don't think it will affect me as much as someone that relies on the supermarket to provide for their processed-food habit.

The reality is that the gov't is opening previously closed areas to farmers so they CAN feed their animals and cut hay, i.e. land that they've been paying the farmers to NOT use.  Ever wonder why that is?  Well, look at the money chain:  If farmers used all of their land to grow crops or raise pastured animals, then the prices would go down because there would be ample supply.  The US gov't wants to make money off the exports and according to laws of economics the less of something there is, the more it will fetch at market.  I'm not solely blaming Nature for this fiasco....the gov't and greed have a lot to do with it, too.  This "payment" to farmers to not use their land was a mistake.

How can we save ourselves?  Be more self-sufficient and don't just give in quietly to the rise in prices.  I realize it's not easy for many people, but get a garden started NOW.  I plan to grow veggies in our house over the winter.  Wean yourself off grain-foods, the ones that are going to skyrocket in price.  I can't say much about the meat except to stock up now, and not just a couple of extra roasts or chickens. 

Nature will balance out; we just have to adapt in the meantime.




Ametrine
by on Aug. 7, 2012 at 10:04 PM

We baled our own hay this year.  We got a lot of weeds in it and so hubby is spraying the field this coming spring. 

Quoting aidansmommy219:

 A few days ago a patient was talking to me about the price of hay. She said she's been having to pay $8 for bad hay. I asked her how much she usually pays and she said anywhere between $3-5 for better quality.

I think I read somewhere that this drought will effect food prices for several years to come.


jbyrd898
by Jessica on Aug. 8, 2012 at 6:29 AM

I agree that is interesting and sort of depressing.

momof2cuteboys
by Member on Aug. 8, 2012 at 10:35 AM

So glad I don't have to buy my beef from the supermarket.  I was actually shocked when I went to see the cost of a pound of hamburger.  I'll stick to my 1/2 a cow we get each year.  Way better quality  and better priced.  

They cut wheat almost a month early and all dry land corn is in here and they are now cutting irragation.  Beans look good as well as Milo.  And I'm in south central Kansas

Add your quick reply below:
You must be a member to reply to this post.
Welcome to CafeMom
join our community and talk to other moms, share advice, and have fun!

(minimum 6 characters)

We won't show your age or birthday to anyone unless you want us to!