It seems like a lot of couples I know get divorced right around their 12th anniversary. So I'd say the honeymoon period lasts for 5yrs and then shit gets real. If you can make it past 12yrs then you'll probably make it.
I consider a newly wed to be a year or less
Under three years is considered Newlywed.
I always assumed the first year. Not sure what the official rule is though.
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