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News & Politics News & Politics

Bring it on "Race Baiters" I dare you: Obama drops 8 points among white voters from 2008

Posted by on Jun. 22, 2012 at 3:28 PM
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1 mom liked this

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Friday, June 22, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote, while President Obama earns 43%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided.

The president picks up support from just 35% of white voters overall. That’s eight points below the 43% of the white vote he won in 2008. Among white Democrats, 17% currently plan to vote for Romney.

Just 33% now believe the president is doing a good or excellent job when it comes to the economy. That’s down from 41% at the beginning of May.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). See tracking history.

With speculation about Romney's vice presidential nominee running high,  Scott Rasmussen contends in his latest weekly syndicated newspaper column  that “more important than the process of selecting the nominee will be the way the choice is rolled out to the public.” Most Americans, he explains, "will learn all they know about the new name on the ticket during the week the candidate is introduced.”

Forty-five percent (45%) believe that America’s best days have come and gone.  Just 37% believe they are in the future.

New polling shows the president ahead by five in the swing state of New Hampshire.  Obama also leads in Pennsylvania and Michigan.  Romney leads in North Carolina and Missouri. The race is a toss-up in WisconsinIowaOhioVirginiaFlorida and Colorado.

(Job Approval Data Below)

 

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 44% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. That matches the president’s lowest approval rating of 2012. Fifty-four percent (54%) at least somewhat disapprove (see trends).

Just 30% believe the United States is generally heading in the right direction. Only 16% believe today’s children will be better off than their parents.

To help the economy, 24% believe the government should increase spending, while 66% think spending cuts are a better remedy.

Eighty-one percent (81%) believe members of Congress listen more to party bosses in Washington than they do to voters. Most (57%) believe legislators routinely get reelected because the process is rigged to benefit incumbents.

If you’d like Scott Rasmussen to speak to your organization, meeting, or conference, please contact Premiere Speakers. The Wall Street Journal has called him “America’s leading insurgent pollster,” and The Washington Post says Scott is a “driving force in American politics.”

To get a sense of longer-term Job Approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports also compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.

(Approval Index data below)

Intensity of support or opposition can have an impact on campaigns. Currently, 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-five percent (45%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -22 (see trends).

During midterm elections, intensity of support can have a tremendous impact on turnout. That was demonstrated in 2010 when Republicans and unaffiliated voters turned out in large numbers to express opposition to the Obama administration’s policies. However, in presidential election years, there is a smaller impact on turnout.

Rasmussen Reports is a media company whose work is followed by millions on a wide variety of platforms. We regularly release our results at RasmussenReports.com, through a daily email newsletter, a nationally syndicated radio news service, an online video service  and a weekly newspaper column distributed by Creators Syndicate. A nationally syndicated TV show--What America Thinks --is scheduled for launch in September 2012.

Our firm has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our "unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy."

During Election 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected that Barack Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama was 53% to 46%. In 2004, Rasmussen Reports was the only firm to project the vote totals for both candidates within half a percentage point. Learn more about the Rasmussen Reports track record over the years.

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.

Like all organizations that conduct public opinion polls, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large (see methodology). It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. Obama's numbers are almost always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the president's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote. 

Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 35.7% Republicans, 33.4% Democrats, and 30.8% unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly larger advantage for the Republicans.

by on Jun. 22, 2012 at 3:28 PM
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Replies (1-10):
4kidz916
by Gold Member on Jun. 22, 2012 at 3:44 PM
3 moms liked this

I don't think it has as much to do with race as it does the fact that he's promised a lot that he hasn't delivered.  A lot of America really thought Obama was the hope and change and it turns out he's no different than all the other politicians. 

ExecutiveChick
by Silver Member on Jun. 22, 2012 at 3:55 PM

Ding Ding Ding!!! Give this lady a prize.

Quoting 4kidz916:

I don't think it has as much to do with race as it does the fact that he's promised a lot that he hasn't delivered.  A lot of America really thought Obama was the hope and change and it turns out he's no different than all the other politicians. 


ExecutiveChick
by Silver Member on Jun. 22, 2012 at 8:35 PM

Come on girls, Race Baiters. I know you're here. I have seen you on today. I know you want to throw out the "R Word", play the race card. I know you are just sitting there about to pee your pants because you just can't stand it, missing the opportunity to lay down that race card...

COME ON! It's Friday night and I'm looking for a little fun. 

Let's Go, Bring it!

Pema_Jampa
by Celeste on Jun. 22, 2012 at 8:49 PM
1 mom liked this

Bait.gif - (3K)

ExecutiveChick
by Silver Member on Jun. 22, 2012 at 8:53 PM

:) And you know for certain members, this poll is a big fat juicy worm dangling there ready for the race baiting attacks

Quoting Pema_Jampa:

Bait.gif - (3K)


Pema_Jampa
by Celeste on Jun. 22, 2012 at 8:55 PM

shrugging

ExecutiveChick
by Silver Member on Jun. 22, 2012 at 9:56 PM

:) You know who/what I am talking about

(Shameless bump)

Quoting Pema_Jampa:

shrugging


Pema_Jampa
by Celeste on Jun. 22, 2012 at 10:04 PM
2 moms liked this

If you are trying to bait someone in particular to respond then that is gross. I do not know of whom you speak. 

Quoting ExecutiveChick:

:) You know who/what I am talking about

(Shameless bump)

Quoting Pema_Jampa:

shrugging



ExecutiveChick
by Silver Member on Jun. 22, 2012 at 10:15 PM

I know not of what you speak.

You know as well as I do that the Race Baiters run rampant on this forum. The fact that it is accepted by anyone is unfathomable. I will personally call them out and shut them down, so if my posting a Poll is baiting someone in particular, they made their own reputation and have to live with it. <Texas analogy> This garden will not be over run by rodents any longer. If I plant a carrot and a rodent comes to eat it, that rodent will be shot.

???

gross/grōs/

Adjective:
Unattractively large or bloated.
Adverb:
Without tax or other contributions having been deducted.
Verb:
Produce or earn (an amount of money) as gross profit or income.
Noun:
An amount equal to twelve dozen; 144.
Synonyms:
adjective.  coarse - rude - thick - rough - fat
noun.  bulk
Quoting Pema_Jampa:

If you are trying to bait someone in particular to respond then that is gross. I do not know of whom you speak. 

Quoting ExecutiveChick:

:) You know who/what I am talking about

(Shameless bump)

Quoting Pema_Jampa:

shrugging




Citygirlk
by on Jun. 22, 2012 at 10:18 PM
Your point? He also dropped among black voters.
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