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The Polls — All Of Them — Show Hillary Clinton Leading Which means Donald Trump is losing.

Posted by on Oct. 27, 2016 at 11:02 AM
  • 44 Replies
1 mom liked this


The Polls — All Of Them — Show Hillary Clinton Leading

Which means Donald Trump is losing.

10/26/2016 08:37 pm ET | Updated 1 hour ago

Justin Sullivan via Getty Images

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is either slightly ahead or way ahead of Republican Donald Trump with just 13 days until Election Day, according to new polls released Wednesday. 

An AP-GFK poll shows Clinton leading by an astonishing 14 points, 51 percent to Trump’s 37 percent, in a four-way race. In a two-way heat, Clinton’s lead narrows to 13 points.

A new Fox News poll finds Clinton ahead by a much smaller margin― just 3 points ahead in a four-way race, 44 percent to 41 percent. She also leads by 3 points head to head with Trump.

Other recent polls show Clinton with a lead ranging from 2 points to 12 points.

It’s best not to freak out just yet over which of Wednesday’s polls are right. Instead, consider the aggregate of recent polls for a more sober look at the race.

According to the HuffPost Pollster aggregate, Clinton is leading by about 7 points in the four-way race, 46.6 percent to 39 percent. 

In the head-to-head race with Trump, Clinton leads by 6 points, 48 percent to 42 percent.

Both new polls are consistent with that aggregated result when you consider their margin of error. The Fox News poll has a 2.5-point margin of error. When applied to each candidate’s share of the vote, that means there could be as much as a 5-point fluctuation in the Fox poll margin. The AP-GFK poll has a slightly higher margin of error, also placing its results within the range of what the aggregate shows. 

Another reason for variation in the new polls could be the dates the surveys were administered. The AP-GFK poll was conducted Oct 20 to Oct. 24, just after the Oct 19 presidential debate, where Clinton was praised for a strong performance. 

The Fox News poll was conducted a few days later, from Oct 22 to Oct. 25. Perceptions of the debate may have been more muted in people’s minds by then.  

In addition, the AP-GFK poll was conducted online. Fox used live phone interviews. Each of the pollsters uses different techniques to screen for likely voters.  

Regardless, the aggregate of polls confirms that Clinton is winning. Clinton leads in a two-way race in all 36 polls conducted in October. In the four-way race, she’s ahead in 48 of 52 October polls.  

The HuffPost Pollster presidential election forecast gives Clinton a 97.5 chance of winning.

Donald Trump is a narcissistic, misogynistic racist. He's a pathological liar. We can't let him anywhere near the White House #UnhingedTrump
by on Oct. 27, 2016 at 11:02 AM
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Replies (1-10):
VooDooB
by Bronze Member on Oct. 27, 2016 at 1:38 PM
1 mom liked this

Of course.

I don't think anyone with half a brain actually believes Trump will win over the media/wall-street darling.

Pema_Jampa
by on Oct. 27, 2016 at 1:39 PM
1 mom liked this
You just insulted a few in here.

Quoting VooDooB:

Of course.

I don't think anyone with half a brain actually believes Trump will win over the media/wall-street darling.

LucyMom08
by Silver Member on Oct. 27, 2016 at 1:41 PM
4 moms liked this
I'm still laughing at certain comments I've seen that are insisting that everything is "rigged", even when I pointed out Clinton is winning the Fox news poll. People are now turning on Fox, haha...karma. They spent years denigrating the 'mainstream media' and how rigged and biased it is, now they are being included in that same bubble...poetic justice!
ALynn565
by Member on Oct. 27, 2016 at 1:41 PM
1 mom liked this

Don't count your chickens before they hatch. They have been having to go back in and change people votes that voted for Trump, but it showed they voted for Hillary. Hillary is a disgrace to this country.. 

LucyMom08
by Silver Member on Oct. 27, 2016 at 1:43 PM
1 mom liked this
That's also a double sided coin. There are reports that votes for Hillary were changed to Trump.

Quoting ALynn565:

Don't count your chickens before they hatch. They have been having to go back in and change people votes that voted for Trump, but it showed they voted for Hillary. Hillary is a disgrace to this country.. 

ALynn565
by Member on Oct. 27, 2016 at 1:47 PM

Probably so. So, your statement has no meaning at this time. Either one of them could get elected, so let's just see what happens. Don't jump the gun.

Quoting LucyMom08: That's also a double sided coin. There are reports that votes for Hillary were changed to Trump.
Quoting ALynn565:

Don't count your chickens before they hatch. They have been having to go back in and change people votes that voted for Trump, but it showed they voted for Hillary. Hillary is a disgrace to this country.. 


VooDooB
by Bronze Member on Oct. 27, 2016 at 1:49 PM
Oppsies!

Quoting Pema_Jampa: You just insulted a few in here.

Quoting VooDooB:

Of course.

I don't think anyone with half a brain actually believes Trump will win over the media/wall-street darling.

Pema_Jampa
by on Oct. 27, 2016 at 2:16 PM
2 moms liked this

WRONG

Quoting ALynn565:

Don't count your chickens before they hatch. They have been having to go back in and change people votes that voted for Trump, but it showed they voted for Hillary. Hillary is a disgrace to this country.. 


Donald Trump is a narcissistic, misogynistic racist. He's a pathological liar. We can't let him anywhere near the White House #UnhingedTrump
2012Rabbit12
by Platinum Member on Oct. 27, 2016 at 2:23 PM
1 mom liked this
Yea, he's losing. Ever since it became a lot clearer he's abusive & probably a rapist, many ppl changed their minds. It's not certain but it's very unlikely Trump will win. Even many of his followers are starting to see that. That's why they are so grouchy.
Pema_Jampa
by on Oct. 27, 2016 at 2:25 PM
2 moms liked this

BIGLY

Quoting 2012Rabbit12: Yea, he's losing. Ever since it became a lot clearer he's abusive & probably a rapist, many ppl changed their minds. It's not certain but it's very unlikely Trump will win. Even many of his followers are starting to see that. That's why they are so grouchy.


Donald Trump is a narcissistic, misogynistic racist. He's a pathological liar. We can't let him anywhere near the White House #UnhingedTrump
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