Join the Meeting Place for Moms!
Talk to other moms, share advice, and have fun!

(minimum 6 characters)

Trump approval rating way down

Posted by on Jan. 18, 2017 at 7:20 PM
  • 3 Replies

Brought to you by the same pollsters who had Hillary winning in a landslide.


Just one day after the bitter mainstreamers at ABC/WaPo and CNN used their "oversamples" of Democrats to rig polls showing an unprecedented unfavorable rating of the incoming President-elect (see "New ABC / WaPo Poll Shows Drop In Trump Favorability Courtesy Of Aggressive 'Oversamples'"), those same outlets have used those same methodologies to engineer stellar approval ratings for Obama...shocking. 

Just like yesterday's polls, both ABC / Wapo and CNN used an aggressive, 8-point "oversample" of Democrats to lavish praise on their chose party and candidate. 

Apparently, ABC / WaPo believes that only 23% of registered voters are Republican...

Wapo

...while CNN stretched to 24% Republicans but still maintained their 8-point Democrat oversample by just adding more dems to the pool. 

A total of 1,000 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 32% described themselves as Democrats, 24% described themselves as Republicans, and 44% described themselves as independents or members of another party

 

And, of course, when you load up a poll with an "oversampling" of Democrats, you predictably get high approval ratings for Democratic candidates...surprise, surprise.  Here are the ABC / WaPo results...

Obama Poll

 

...and CNN.

Obama Poll

 

Meanwhile, ABC / WaPo provided the following convenient chart which perfectly illustrates why "oversamples" are so important.  By our math, using the actual split of registered voters based on actual data (i.e. 33% Dem, 29% Rep and 38% Independent/Other) and a normalized approval rating among Independents would result in an Obama approval rating of ~52%.  But, with a 90% approval rating among his own party and a suspicious surge in approval among "Independents" (which is more likely attributable to samples more Independents in Democrat-leaning precincts), it's very easy to see how even just small "oversamples" can result in massive swings in the overall results.  

Obama Approval

 

Meanwhile, despite having one of the highest approval ratings of any exiting President in modern history, ABC / WaPo found that, even with their oversamples, 63% of Americans still see the country as being on the wrong track...figure that one out.

Obama Poll

 


Free People are not Equal.  Equal People are not Free.

by on Jan. 18, 2017 at 7:20 PM
Add your quick reply below:
You must be a member to reply to this post.
Replies (1-3):
MelissaBtr
by Member on Jan. 18, 2017 at 7:22 PM
1 mom liked this
Sometimes I think the newspeople only poll themselves to come up these results.
Inana
by on Jan. 18, 2017 at 7:25 PM
I don't put any faith in these polls. I've never been polled and don't know anyone that has. How about you ladies? Ever been polled on the presidential candidates?
Pema_Jampa
by on Jan. 18, 2017 at 7:51 PM
1 mom liked this

Approval rating? Wouldn't he need approval from people to have one of those?

Add your quick reply below:
You must be a member to reply to this post.
Join the Meeting Place for Moms!
Talk to other moms, share advice, and have fun!

(minimum 6 characters)