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*UPDATED 8/29 12:10PM* HURRICANE GUSTAV

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Poll

Question: Will you evacuate if this storm comes our way?

Options:

Yes!

No -i don't want to

No -i have no way to leave or anywhere to go

Still thinking if i want to leave or not


Only group members can vote in this poll.

Total Votes: 6

View Results

**ALL COMMENTS IN THIS SECTION IS INFORMATION THAT MAY HELP YOU PREPARE FOR THIS STORM**



Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on August 29, 2008

 
since the last aircraft fix over western Jamaica at about 1100
UTC...which included a central pressure estimate of 988 mb...GOES
visible imagery suggests that Gustav is regaining organization now
that its center has emerged over water west of Jamaica. The
advisory intensity is maintained at 55 kt until we receive new data
from the next aircraft this afternoon...although it is possible
that Gustav is already a little stronger. The cyclone will have
more than 24 hours over the very warm waters of the northwestern
Caribbean...and beneath an upper-level anticyclone...so
strengthening seems imminent and could even be rapid. The rapid
intensification index based on the SHIPS model indicates a 28
percent chance of an intensity increase of 30 kt or more during the
next 24 hours. Since there is about 36 hours left before Gustav
crosses Cuba...there remains some possibility that Gustav could
become a major hurricane before crossing the western portions of
that island. Conditions over the Gulf of Mexico appear to support a
major hurricane as well...although wind shear could increase a
little. The new official intensity forecast is very similar to the
previous one and is a little higher than the intensity consensus.
 
Gustav is moving at about 295/7 but is in the process of turning to
the right in response to the ridge to its north...and is headed for
a weakness in the ridge that is forecast by all models to develop
over the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days.
The guidance is in very good agreement on a path over the western
portions of Cuba in roughly 36 hours...followed by a track into the
south-central Gulf of Mexico. Thereafter...the models diverge
tremendously over the northern Gulf due to differences in how they
handle the high moving eastward across the Great Lakes region. The
models that show a slower and more westward motion across the
northern Gulf show a little more ridging extending southwestward
from the Great Lakes high...while those that are faster and
straight northwestward toward the north-central Gulf Coast show
less of that ridging. The new official track forecast is adjusted
only slightly right of the previous advisory and the
consensus...giving respect to the NWS models GFS...GFDL...and
HWRF...which also seem to depict a slightly deeper system that we
expect Gustav to be. Needless to say...due to the model spread the
track forecast is rather uncertain...and final landfall remains
possible throughout the northern Gulf Coast.


RED CROSS HURRICANE CHECK LIST


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by on Aug. 27, 2008 at 2:42 PM
Replies (51-54):
ashybaby87
by Group Owner on Aug. 29, 2008 at 4:56 PM

All Audubon Nature Institute facilities will be closed this Saturday, Sunday and Monday due to strong weather conditions.

Our facilities are secure,
our animals are safe and our staff is in place to address
whatever needs may arise. 

We hope to reopen on Tuesday, September.

Please watch our website for updates. 

 Give to Audubon Nature Institute
All proceeds support Audubon's animals and their habitats.

ashybaby87
by Group Owner on Aug. 29, 2008 at 8:53 PM

Crescent City Connection suspends tolls Saturday

06:30 PM CDT on Friday, August 29, 2008
Michael Luke / Eyewitness News

The Crescent City Connection will be suspending tolls on the bridge Saturday in response to Gustav.

At 7 a.m. Saturday, the bridge will suspends polls, though essential services -- police, maintenance and marine personnel -- will remain on-duty throughout the storm threat to direct traffic, such as Contraflow if it is enacted, and secure facilities.

ashybaby87
by Group Owner on Aug. 29, 2008 at 8:54 PM

State vows nursing home residents won't be left behind

06:55 PM CDT on Friday, August 29, 2008
Janet McConnaughey / Associated Press

About six of every 10 nursing homes in the New Orleans area didn't evacuate before Hurricane Katrina hit three years ago, and about 70 patients died in them. That won't happen with Hurricane Gustav, officials said.

Several nursing homes were moving residents Friday, and others planned to do so over the weekend.

CommCare Corp., which owns 45 nursing homes in Louisiana and Mississippi, put about 500 residents of five facilities in Houma, Thibodaux, Lutcher and Destrehan onto buses Friday for its nursing homes farther north, CEO John Stassi said. An additional 650 were going home with their families, he said.

Jefferson Healthcare Center outside New Orleans had already evacuated its Alzheimer's unit by Friday afternoon, and the nursing home was ready to move patients on dialysis.

Nursing homes near the Louisiana Gulf Coast drew on lessons learned from the devastating 2005 hurricane as they braced for another storm. Some had started evacuating on Friday, and others were preparing for evacuation.

Gustav was still about three days from landfall, but administrator Robert Rhea had no plans to gamble.

"We stayed here through Katrina," Rhea said. "We wanted to be in a position if it looks like it's going to be a close one, we don't want to be in the building this time."

The 19 sickest residents at St. Margaret's Daughters Home were to leave in ambulances Friday night for nursing homes in Jackson, administrator Manda Mountain said. She said families leaving the city planned to take about a dozen residents with them, and the rest will leave Saturday on three buses for a Baptist church north of Jackson.

Some nursing homes were planning evacuations reluctantly.

"I could stay right here with my fantastic, 300-kilowatt generator and be safe inside these walls, but politics and society won't let me do that this time," said Covenant Nursing Home Executive Director Margaret Hoffmann, whose residence sits on high ground in New Orleans. "There's too much pressure to leave."

Before Katrina, many nursing homes worried that a long bus trip would be harder on their fragile residents than a hurricane. Their main evacuation plan was to "shelter in place," stocking up on food and water.

Their fears had reason: as many as 55 who were evacuated for Katrina died during the storm or immediately afterward.

Only 21 of the 57 nursing homes considered at risk during Katrina evacuated. Patients died at 13 of the others during or shortly after Katrina, the attorney general's office said in 2006.

That included 35 who drowned at St. Rita's Nursing Home in St. Bernard Parish, and 19 at another nursing home who died in the heat wave afterward. The only people charged in such deaths, the owners of St. Rita's, were acquitted of negligent homicide and cruelty to the infirm, but still face dozens of lawsuits.

State laws passed since Katrina require homes to have contracts with transportation companies and alternative sites to house their residents, said Joseph Donchess, executive director of the Louisiana Nursing Home Association. New regulations also require homes to have seven days of supplies and a plan for keeping residents comfortable if they don't evacuate.

Donchess said many homes had evacuations planned before Katrina, but that storm also taught them to send electronic copies of patient records by computer disc or e-mail to the alternative sites.

Staff also learned the importance of identification bands. In the chaos following Katrina, some patients became separated from staff, and they arrived at alternative homes without identification.

"For days, we were trying to actually identify people," Donchess said.

He thinks many homes also will consider hiring private security or off-duty police for protection if Gustav hits.

"Nursing homes that did not evacuate (during Katrina) became islands, and there were drug addicts who were trying to break in to steal drugs," he said. "You can't just assume the police department is going to be there to help you."

A truck full of armed men threatened the residents of Covenant Nursing Home as they evacuated a few days after Katrina, Hoffmann said.

Hoffmann has buses scheduled to arrive Sunday, and she already stockpiled mattresses, food and other supplies at her alternative site in Alexandria, La.

She even had family members pack bags for the residents to make the move as smooth as possible. Still, she worries.

Covenant lost 40 percent of its residents in the last three months of 2005, weeks after they had been evacuated.

"This kills these people," she said. "We force them to live in half a room. Everything they own is in half of a room and then we take that away.

"They don't know where they are, they don't see any more faces that they know and love. They're disoriented. They just decline."

(Copyright 2008 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

ashybaby87
by Group Owner on Aug. 29, 2008 at 8:55 PM

Lafourche Parish mandatory evacuation on Saturday

11:13 AM CDT on Friday, August 29, 2008

Due to the projected path of Tropical Storm Gustav, Lafourche Parish President Charlotte Randolph has declared a State of Emergency for the Parish of Lafourche, effective at 7:00 A.M. this morning, Friday, August 29, 2008. Lafourche Parish Government has fully activated its Emergency Operations Center in Raceland.

 

After meeting with state and local officials, President Randolph has also announced the evacuation schedule for Lafourche Parish:

 

A RECOMMENDED EVACUATION will be issued at 4:00 P.M. today (Friday) for the area South of the Leon Theriot Floodgates in Golden Meadow.

 

A MANDATORY EVACUATION will be issued at 9:00 A.M. Saturday for the area South of the Leon Theriot Floodgates in Golden Meadow

 

A MANDATORY EVACUATION will be issued at 3:00 P.M. Saturday for the ENTIRE Parish of Lafourche.

 

At this time, NO shelters will be opened in Lafourche Parish since Gustav is forecast to affect Lafourche Parish as a Category 3 Hurricane. There will be no shelters or marshalling points open during the recommended evacuation. Residents evacuating during that time must have their own transportation and will not be provided shelter in Lafourche Parish. The State will release a toll-free telephone number for shelter information at some point before our recommended evacuation today.

 

“We wanted to let the public know our plans as soon as possible,” said President Randolph. “This will give everyone the opportunity to finalize their plans today and allow some people to leave early as well.”

 

Tropical Storm force winds are expected to start affecting our area during the early morning hours of Monday, September 1 with the eye of the storm making landfall during the early morning hours on Tuesday, September 2.

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