Join the Meeting Place for Moms!
Talk to other moms, share advice, and have fun!

(minimum 6 characters)

Does Everyone Realize That Romney Is Losing The Election?

Posted by on Sep. 25, 2012 at 6:47 AM
  • 123 Replies

OBAMA'S LEAD CONTINUES TO GROW

Reuters) - President Barack Obama widened his lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney to 7 percentage points in a Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters on Thursday, the latest survey to show the Democrat ahead in the run-up to the November 6 election.

The daily online poll asked 990 likely voters over the previous four days which candidate they would pick if the vote took place today, with 48 percent choosing Obama and 41 percent picking Romney.

The gap has been widening since Obama grabbed the lead in the rolling poll on September 7 when he scooped up 46 percent of likely voters to Romney's 44 percent after the Democratic convention.

"What that really means is that Obama is in good shape," said Ipsos pollster Julia Clark, attributing some of Obama's uptick to the slowly improving sentiment toward the direction of the country shown in Wednesday's telephone poll.

Among all 1,231 registered voters surveyed online, Obama led with 45 percent to Romney's 39 percent.

Thursday's online poll also found far more registered voters preferred the incumbent's policies and approach on taxes (41 percent picked Obama, 30 percent Romney), healthcare (44 percent Obama, 28 percent Romney) and Social Security (39 percent Obama, 27 percent Romney).

Asked which of the candidates had a better plan, policy or approach to the war on terrorism, more registered voters again favored Obama: 39 percent to Romney's 25 percent.

Foreign policy moved to the center of the campaign this week after four Americans, including an ambassador, were killed in Libya as protests raged in Benghazi and Cairo in neighboring Egypt against an anti-Islam film made in the United States.

The two candidates ranked closely on the U.S. economy: 36 percent said Obama's approach was better, versus 35 percent for Romney. Obama held a slight lead of 38 percent to Romney's 35 percent on jobs and unemployment, despite poor unemployment figures last Friday.

But 35 percent of registered voters found Romney's policies and plans on the federal deficit were better than Obama's. Thursday's poll showed Obama with 31 percent.

Independents - a key voting bloc - favored neither of the candidate's policies on many issues.

"Neither candidate has established credibility on these issues," Clark said. "Neither candidate is really doing it for these independents."

Asked for whom they would vote for in Thursday's poll, the small pool of independents preferred Romney with 35 percent to Obama's 26 percent, which Clark attributed to their high focus on economic issues.

The precision of Reuters/Ipsos rolling daily online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points for all respondents.

(Editing by Alistair Bell and Peter Cooney

by on Sep. 25, 2012 at 6:47 AM
Add your quick reply below:
You must be a member to reply to this post.
Replies (1-10):
tooptimistic
by Kelly on Sep. 25, 2012 at 7:23 AM
12 moms liked this

The election is  not until November.  There are still the debates.  You don't know who is going to win until the votes are counted.

candlegal
by Judy on Sep. 25, 2012 at 7:39 AM
8 moms liked this

LOL

rfurlongg
by on Sep. 25, 2012 at 7:42 AM
1 mom liked this
Debates can easily sway elections. I am staying tuned for those.
Posted on CafeMom Mobile
afwifey4510
by on Sep. 25, 2012 at 7:48 AM
1 mom liked this
Maybe the "poor people are lazy" comment did mittens in.

I question the accuracy of polling (on both spectrums republicans don't get excited you didn't convert me); just because I've never taken a poll and I'm sure others haven't either--therefore not giving 100% accuracy.
Posted on CafeMom Mobile
TheStepMonster
by on Sep. 25, 2012 at 7:57 AM
9 moms liked this
I can make a poll say anything I want based on the people I ask. JS
Posted on CafeMom Mobile
peg2000
by Member on Sep. 25, 2012 at 7:59 AM


 

Quote:

I question the accuracy of polling (on both spectrums republicans don't get excited you didn't convert me); just because I've never taken a poll and I'm sure others haven't either--therefore not giving 100% accuracy.


The polling for the 2008 election was very accurate.

peg2000
by Member on Sep. 25, 2012 at 8:02 AM
1 mom liked this


 

Quote:

I can make a poll say anything I want based on the people I ask. JS

Yeah, I'm sure the Wall Street Journal wants Obama to win (WSJ poll shows Obama with a big lead, too).

gotnothinonme
by Silver Member on Sep. 25, 2012 at 8:08 AM
1 mom liked this

I'm not so sure- though I'm hoping- but hey, you never know what can happen. "Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst" should be our new national motto, lol. Especially since most often both mainstream candidates are some version of "worst":) I try personally to not speculate to greatly or get to comfy with one notion or another, just so I don't spill my beloved coffee should my world view get an upset.

gotnothinonme
by Silver Member on Sep. 25, 2012 at 8:09 AM
1 mom liked this

Polls and stats are so subjective that for every one that says one thing, there's another that says the opposite. We all learned this in school or college, we know how this works, we could google up a poll to support almost any silly thing we want.

dingdangduck
by on Sep. 25, 2012 at 8:21 AM
2 moms liked this

I'm voting for Donald Duck.

Add your quick reply below:
You must be a member to reply to this post.
Join the Meeting Place for Moms!
Talk to other moms, share advice, and have fun!

(minimum 6 characters)



Featured