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Right-wing push poll accidentally finds Obamacare popular

Posted by on Aug. 15, 2013 at 8:59 AM
Pam
  • 53 Replies
1 mom liked this

Right-wing push poll accidentally finds Obamacare popular

Heritage's new poll oversamples Republicans and asks misleading questions -- but finds most want to keep Obamacare

(Credit: AP/Charles Dharapak)

Heritage Action, the activist wing of the conservative Heritage Foundation, is out with a new poll today that’s getting some favorable coverage in the mainstream political press. According to Heritage, the survey shows that the GOP shouldn’t fear a government shutdown over Obamacare defunding. But there’s a catch.

The background here is that a group of conservative senators, including Ted Cruz, Mike Lee and Marco Rubio, are trying to push Republican leaders to demand that Congress defund Obamacare in upcoming appropriations battles , even if it means forcing the government to shut down. Heritage supports the effort, so it took the poll to try to steel the spines of Republican leaders.

“Americans — including 57 percent of independents in ten critical congressional districts — favor defunding Obamacare,” said Michael Needham, the CEO of Heritage Action. “House Republicans should be much more concerned with the fallout of failing to defund Obamacare than with the imaginary fallout of doing so.”

What Needham fails to mention, however, is that even this push poll that dramatically oversamples Republicans (more on that in a minute) finds respondents are more likely to say that the Affordable Care Act should be kept than scrapped — and that a plurality would blame Republicans if the government were to shut down.

Only 44.5 percent “oppose the health care law and think it should be repealed,” while 52 percent either support the law as is or have some concerns, but say they think implementation should move forward. And asked whom they would blame if “there was an impasse between president Obama and Congress on whether to continue to fund the health care law, and that impasse resulted in a partial government shutdown,” the top response (28 percent) was Republicans in Congress. The next option, Obama, got 21 percent of respondents.

As for Heritage’s sample, which NBC calls voters from “10 relatively competitive congressional districts,” and Heritage says represents “the American people” as a whole — not so much.


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Josh Dorner of the Center for American Progress Action Fund — Heritage Action’s ideological rival — cries foul. He sent over the partisan breakdown of each of the 10 districts and noted that every single one leans Republican:

o FL-2 Southerland R+5
o GA-12 Barrow R+9
o IL-18 Schock R+10
o NJ-7 Lance R+6
o NC-2 Ellmers R+11
o NC-7 McIntyre R+11
o OH-12 Tiberi R+8
o OR-2 Walden R+10
o UT-4 Matheson R+14
o WV-3 Rahall R+14

The poll even asked respondents directly for their party affiliation. Not surprisingly, there were almost 10 percentage points more Republicans (41.8 percent) than Democrats (33 percent). That looks even worse when you consider that more people identify as Democrats than Republicans nationwide, and by a margin of 7 percentage points, according to the latest Gallup survey. That means that Heritage’s poll is arguably oversampling Republicans by around 15 percent.

One could further take issue with a poll that asks respondents leading questions like, do you think Congress should “halt funding for the health care law before provisions take effect, to make sure they do not do more harm than good?”

And the key question of the survey — would you support a government shutdown to defund Obamacare? — is comically euphemistic, calling a hypothetical shutdown a “temporary slowdown in non-essential federal government operations, which still left all essential government services running.”

And yet, despite oversampling Republicans and asking misleading questions, the poll still finds that pluralities favor keeping Obamacare and that Republicans would bear the brunt of the public’s wrath if the government shuts down.

by on Aug. 15, 2013 at 8:59 AM
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Replies (1-10):
PamR
by Pam on Aug. 15, 2013 at 8:15 PM

BUMP!

-Celestial-
by Pepperlynn on Aug. 15, 2013 at 8:35 PM

Considering the age of the targeted audience its no surprise..

stacymomof2
by Ruby Member on Aug. 15, 2013 at 9:11 PM
1 mom liked this
Whoops lol. Poor Heritage Foundation. Even their best efforts failed to produce the intended outcome.
Carpy
by Ruby Member on Aug. 15, 2013 at 9:22 PM
2 moms liked this

WOW, someone needs to learn to read polls,

PamR
by Pam on Aug. 16, 2013 at 8:50 AM


Maybe you should enlighten them.

Quoting Carpy:

WOW, someone needs to learn to read polls,



NWP
by guerrilla girl on Aug. 16, 2013 at 8:53 AM
Lol
Carpy
by Ruby Member on Aug. 16, 2013 at 9:10 AM
1 mom liked this
They can look the same as me

Quoting PamR:


Maybe you should enlighten them.


Quoting Carpy:

WOW, someone needs to learn to read polls,




GLWerth
by Gina on Aug. 16, 2013 at 10:28 AM

Oops...LOL.

numbr1wmn
by Nikki on Aug. 16, 2013 at 10:31 AM
2 moms liked this

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/08/14/summertime-blues-polls-show-obamacare-support-eroding-amid-implementation/

As problems continue to pile up over the implementation of the Affordable Care Act, summertime polls from Fox News, Gallup and Rasmussen signal that growing confusion over the complexities of the law, how it will be rolled out and how much it will cost is eroding public support.   

A majority of Americans say they believe the new health care law will increase their medical costs and taxes, according to an Aug. 8 Fox News poll. The survey found 57 percent of those polled felt the way ObamaCare was being rolled out was "a joke." 

Overall, 63 percent of voters believe that the 2010 health care law needs to be changed. That number is up from 58 percent of those asked the question in July 2012. 

The number of Republicans who think the law should be changed remained steady at 84 percent. According to the poll, more voters used negative terms to describe the health care overhaul -- with 39 percent calling it "disastrous" and 14 percent calling it "a step backwards." 



Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/08/14/summertime-blues-polls-show-obamacare-support-eroding-amid-implementation/#ixzz2c8txUvms

Public Approval of Obama's Health Care Law

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample For/Favor Against/Oppose Spread
RCP Average 6/20 - 8/10 -- 39.5 51.3 Against/Oppose +11.8
Rasmussen Reports* 8/9 - 8/10 1000 LV 41 53 Against/Oppose +12
FOX News* 7/21 - 7/23 1017 RV 40 53 Against/Oppose +13
CBS News 7/18 - 7/22 1036 A 36 54 Against/Oppose +18
ABC News/Wash Post 7/18 - 7/21 1002 A 42 49 Against/Oppose +7
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 7/17 - 7/21 1000 A 34 47 Against/Oppose +13
Gallup 6/20 - 6/24 2048 A 44 52 Against/Oppose +8

All Public Approval of Obama's Health Care Law Polling Data

 
grandmab125
by Gold Member on Aug. 17, 2013 at 12:44 AM
3 moms liked this

 Oh now, don't burst their kool-aid reinforced bubble with facts.

Quoting numbr1wmn:

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/08/14/summertime-blues-polls-show-obamacare-support-eroding-amid-implementation/

As problems continue to pile up over the implementation of the Affordable Care Act, summertime polls from Fox News, Gallup and Rasmussen signal that growing confusion over the complexities of the law, how it will be rolled out and how much it will cost is eroding public support.   

A majority of Americans say they believe the new health care law will increase their medical costs and taxes, according to an Aug. 8 Fox News poll. The survey found 57 percent of those polled felt the way ObamaCare was being rolled out was "a joke." 

Overall, 63 percent of voters believe that the 2010 health care law needs to be changed. That number is up from 58 percent of those asked the question in July 2012. 

The number of Republicans who think the law should be changed remained steady at 84 percent. According to the poll, more voters used negative terms to describe the health care overhaul -- with 39 percent calling it "disastrous" and 14 percent calling it "a step backwards." 



Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/08/14/summertime-blues-polls-show-obamacare-support-eroding-amid-implementation/#ixzz2c8txUvms

Public Approval of Obama's Health Care Law

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample For/Favor Against/Oppose Spread
RCP Average 6/20 - 8/10 -- 39.5 51.3 Against/Oppose +11.8
Rasmussen Reports* 8/9 - 8/10 1000 LV 41 53 Against/Oppose +12
FOX News* 7/21 - 7/23 1017 RV 40 53 Against/Oppose +13
CBS News 7/18 - 7/22 1036 A 36 54 Against/Oppose +18
ABC News/Wash Post 7/18 - 7/21 1002 A 42 49 Against/Oppose +7
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 7/17 - 7/21 1000 A 34 47 Against/Oppose +13
Gallup 6/20 - 6/24 2048 A 44 52 Against/Oppose +8

All Public Approval of Obama's Health Care Law Polling Data

 

 

grandma B

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